Computer Model Releases New Playoff Prediction After Wisconsin’s Loss

first_img FiveThirtyEight has updated its computer projections. Here’s who they have making it now:1. Clemson, 83 percent chance Trevor Lawrence throws up his hands at North Carolina.CHAPEL HILL, NORTH CAROLINA – SEPTEMBER 28: Trevor Lawrence #16 of the Clemson Tigers looks to the sideline during the first half of their game against the North Carolina Tar Heels at Kenan Stadium on September 28, 2019 in Chapel Hill, North Carolina. (Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Images)2. Ohio State, 57 percent chance Justin Fields warms up before game at Nebraska.LINCOLN, NE – SEPTEMBER 28: Quarterback Justin Fields #1 of the Ohio State Buckeyes warms up before the game against the Nebraska Cornhuskers at Memorial Stadium on September 28, 2019 in Lincoln, Nebraska. (Photo by Steven Branscombe/Getty Images)3. Oklahoma, 54 percent chance Oklahoma quarterback Jalen Hurts at Kansas.LAWRENCE, KANSAS – OCTOBER 05: Quarterback Jalen Hurts #1 of the Oklahoma Sooners watches from the sidelines during the game against the Kansas Jayhawks at Memorial Stadium on October 05, 2019 in Lawrence, Kansas. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)4. Alabama, 53 percent chance A closeup of Alabama quarterback Tua TagovailoaTUSCALOOSA, AL – NOVEMBER 17: Tua Tagovailoa #13 of the Alabama Crimson Tide in action against the Citadel Bulldogs at Bryant-Denny Stadium on November 17, 2018 in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)The next teams:5. LSU, 27 percent chance6. Penn State, 19 percent chance7. Georgia, 15 percent chance8. Notre Dame, 13 percent chance9. Oregon, 13 percent chance10. Florida, 10 percent chance***You can view 538’s full projections here. A solo shot of Wisconsin football coach Paul Chryst.LINCOLN, NE – OCTOBER 07: Head coach Paul Chryst of the Wisconsin Badgers before the game against the Nebraska Cornhuskers at Memorial Stadium on October 7, 2017 in Lincoln, Nebraska. (Photo by Steven Branscombe/Getty Images)The second massive upset of the 2019 college football season took place as Lovie Smith and the Illinois Fighting Illini knocked off the previously unbeaten Wisconsin Badgers.Illinois used a field goal in the final seconds to walk off with a 24-23 win – handing the Badgers their first loss of the season.Wisconsin was considered a legitimate contender for the College Football Playoff after its hot start to the season. However, with a major contest looming against Ohio State, the Badgers got caught looking ahead.With the loss, one computer’s College Football Playoff predictions have changed.last_img read more

Mission impossible How Federer can beat Nadal

first_imgParis: Roger Federer faces Roland Garros’ mission impossible on Friday when he tries to become just the third man to beat 11-time champion Rafael Nadal on the Paris clay. The great Spaniard has only been defeated twice on the red brick dust in the French capital in 93 matches since his 2005 debut. Ten years ago Robin Soderling hit winner after winner as the unheralded Swede ended Nadal’s 31-match win streak at the tournament. “I think to beat him on clay is challenging. But to beat him in five sets on clay is even more difficult,” said Soderling who crushed 63 winners in that last-16 landmark win. Also Read – We don’t ask for kind of tracks we get: Bowling coach Arun”You have to play extremely well. To beat him on clay, the only chance for any player is to be really aggressive. Take some risks. Many, many players, even good players, top players… you can almost see that they don’t really believe 100 per cent that they can win.” Nadal was far from his best that day in 2009. He was to eventually pull out of Wimbledon with a knee injury, ending his hopes of defending the title he had so thrillingly won against Federer 12 months earlier. Also Read – Bastian Schweinsteiger announces retirement, could join Germany set-upNadal, however, was to get his revenge over Soderling in the Roland Garros final in 2010 as he captured his fifth title. He was to win the next four as well, a run which ended in 2015 when Novak Djokovic stunned him in straight sets in the quarter-finals. That was the last time 33-year-old Nadal lost in Paris although he was forced to withdraw before the third round in 2016 due to a wrist injury. “I didn’t want to give him too much comfort and opportunities where he can dictate the play,” said Djokovic of his 7-5, 6-3, 6-1 win in 2015. “I tried to mix up the pace, get into the net. Dropshots, high balls, fast balls, always something different. “He made some unforced errors that are not characteristic for him maybe from the forehand side. “But that’s what happens when you don’t feel comfortable on the court. I think because I play fast to his forehand and moved him around the court, he was a bit uncomfortable in his footing. That’s where I want him.” Federer, playing his first French Open since 2015, has lost all five meetings he has had with Nadal in Paris. The pair haven’t met at the tournament since the 2011 final which Nadal won in four sets. Overall, Nadal leads their head-to-head 23-15 and is 13-2 on clay. Their last meeting on clay was in the Rome final in 2013 when Federer managed just four games. Furthermore, it’s been 10 years since Federer beat Nadal on the surface, in the final in Madrid where the higher altitude keeps the ball moving faster through the air, playing perfectly into the Swiss star’s game plan. If Federer is to have any hope of a shock victory on Friday, then he needs to significantly improve his break point statistics. Currently he stands at 20 out of 55 for the tournament (36%) compared to Nadal’s 31/54 (57% conversion rate). In his four-set quarter-final win over Stan Wawrinka on Tuesday, Federer converted just two of 18. Despite the weight of history counting against the 20-time major winner, Federer insists Friday’s outcome is not a foregone conclusion.last_img read more